Global Growth Tracker: World Economies by GDP
from Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies
from Greenberg Center for Geoeconomic Studies

Global Growth Tracker: World Economies by GDP

This tracker charts the economic growth performance through time of ninety-one countries around the globe.

Last updated June 12, 2024 10:10 am (EST)

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The Global Growth Tracker allows you to gauge trends in economic growth through time across the globe.

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The map below compiles data on economic growth over one hundred countries around the world, mainly those that report quarterly data to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Growth is defined as the rate of change, over the prior twelve months, in each country’s gross domestic product (GDP), which is the total value of goods and services produced there.

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International Economic Policy

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Hover over each country on the map to see its latest growth data. Countries with positive growth rates are shaded in green; countries with negative growth rates, orange. To view changes over time, adjust the date using the slider at the top left of the map. You can also view each country’s historical growth data on the chart below the map by using the drop-down menu.

Together, the growth data from each country highlights significant global trends. It shows how the 2008 financial crisis, which began in the United States, triggered major declines in growth across the world. In the first half of 2009, three-fourths of tracker countries saw GDP shrink. By 2016, growth had turned positive in nearly every country, but the global economy began to slow again in 2019. And in early 2020, the COVID-19 pandemic caused a collapse in GDP at a pace comparable to that during the Great Depression. Global growth resumed in 2021, at a robust 6 percent pace, before falling back to 3.5 percent in 2022 and 3.2 percent in 2023. The IMF forecasts continued 3.2 percent growth for 2024 and 2025. 

 
GDP growth is the percentage increase in gross domestic product over the prior twelve months. For details, see Data Notes.

2023 Q4

+4% or more+3%+2%+1% 0%-1%-2%-3%-4% or lessGDP growth
-4% or less-3%-2%-1% 0%+1%+2%+3%+4% or more GDP growth
GDP Growth
200020052010201520202024-10%+0%+12%

 

The two charts below also show, for twenty-three countries for which the necessary data is available, how each country’s actual growth rate compares to its estimated potential growth rate. Potential growth is defined as the maximum rate of growth that a country can sustain indefinitely. When a country’s actual growth exceeds potential, it exhausts its productive resources, which causes inflation to rise. Countries growing above potential for long periods run the risk of overheating and falling into recession. When a country’s actual growth falls short of potential, by contrast, it fails to make full use of productive resources.

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Select a country from the drop-down menu below to compare its actual growth rate and estimated potential growth rate over time. The top chart shows these two data series plotted together. The bottom chart shows the difference between actual and potential growth, or its growth gap. Positive values on this chart indicate that a country is growing above potential; negative values indicate it is growing below potential.

 
Actual and Potential GDP Growth
Potential GDP growth is the estimated noninflationary level of growth. For details, see Data Notes.
Actual growth
Potential growth
200020052010201520202024-10%+0%+10%
GDP Growth Gap
The GDP growth gap is the percentage point difference between a country's actual and potential growth.
Above potentialBelow potential
200020052010201520202024-10+0+10

 

Please also visit our Global Monetary Policy TrackerGlobal Imbalances TrackerGlobal Trade TrackerGlobal Energy TrackerSovereign Risk Tracker, and Central Bank Currency Swaps Tracker.

More on:

Economics

International Economic Policy

Global

International Monetary Fund (IMF)

Development

Data Notes

The map above shows actual growth data for countries included in the World Bank's Global Economic Monitor (GEM), the Organization of Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), and the IMF's International Financial Statistics (IFS) datasets. Growth data for the following countries comes entirely from the IFS: Bahamas, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Brunei, Cape Verde, Cyprus, Dominican Republic, Honduras, Hong Kong, Jamaica, Jordan, Kazakhstan, Kosovo, Lesotho, Macao, Malta, Mauritius, Moldova, Montenegro, North Macedonia, Paraguay, Rwanda, Samoa, Senegal, Serbia, Seychelles, Sri Lanka, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Uganda, and West Bank and Gaza. For all other countries, growth data is taken from the GEM and OECD. All growth data is calculated as year-over-year changes in real GDP. For all countries, data is seasonally adjusted apart from Bahamas, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Brunei, Cape Verde, Dominican Republic, Kosovo, Macao, Mauritius, Montenegro, Paraguay, Rwanda, Samoa, Seychelles, Sri Lanka, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, and West Bank and Gaza. 

Potential growth data is calculated based on IMF estimates of each country’s potential GDP. Potential GDP is defined as the maximum output a country can produce, in a given period of time, without causing inflation to rise. Unlike actual GDP, potential GDP cannot be observed directly from the real world. Instead, its value is estimated from trends in a country’s labor supply, capital stock, and productivity level.

 

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